People are quick to note that in a general election match up, Hilary Clinton currently beats Trump and Ted Cruz is even with Clinton or maybe slightly beating her (+3% Cruz).
Here’s the problem: the Presidency isn’t won by popular election.
It’s won through the electoral college and the demographics for 2016 show that the Republican or Democratic Presidential nominee will win by securing 7 key swing states for the electoral college. Here are those 7 states along with which GOP contender has the most support in each of these states:
- Ohio (Kasich won with Trump second by only 3%)
- Colorado (Trump)
- Iowa (Cruz)
- Nevada (Trump)
- New Hampshire (Trump)
- Virginia (Trump)
- Florida (Trump)
If we want to secure an Anti-Clinton win, it appears that Trump can best rally the pivotal swing states for the elector college. Math is math.
Agree or Disagree? Leave you comments below.